Probabilistic Prediction of Microcystin Concentrations in Lake Erie
Craig Stow, NOAA Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory; Freya Rowland, Cooperative Institute for Great Lakes Research, University of Michigan; Song Qian, University of Toledo; Thomas Johengen, CILER, University of Michigan; Mark Rowe, NOAA GLERL; Qianqian Liu, Grand Valley State Univ.; Eric Anderson, NOAA/GLERL

On the role of physical processes in algal bloom formation in Lake St Clair
Serghei Bocaniov, University of Waterloo; Homa Kheyrollah Pour, University of Waterloo; Donald Scavia, University of Michigan; Philippe Van Cappellen, University of Waterloo

Bayesian mechanistic modeling elucidates controls on bloom timing and magnitude in Western Lake Erie
Dario Del Giudice, NC State University; Shiqi Fang, North Carolina State University; Donald Scavia, University of Michigan; Daniel Obenour, NC State University